INDEPENDENT PERSPECTIVE
26 October 2026 · Daily edition

← 26 October 2026 edition

Research cutoff: 26 Oct 2026, 09:04 Helsinki time. Edition timestamp: 26 Oct 2026, 09:04 Helsinki time.

05United States · Technology and markets

America’s earnings boom is broader than a bubble—but far narrower than the index

Facts

Nvidia and Micron account for 34% of expected third-quarter S&P 500 profit growth, while ten companies account for roughly two-thirds, The Wall Street Journal reports.

InterpretationThat concentration makes pensions and household wealth sensitive to a small set of capital-spending assumptions. The counterevidence matters: companies outside the leaders are still expected to grow profits, so concentration is a vulnerability rather than proof of a dot-com replay.