INDEPENDENT PERSPECTIVE
29 October 2026 · Daily edition

← 29 October 2026 edition

Research cutoff: 29 Oct 2026, 09:04 Helsinki time. Edition timestamp: 29 Oct 2026, 09:04 Helsinki time.

01United States · Economics and institutional power

The Fed pauses, but the dissent points upward

Facts

The Federal Reserve held its policy rate at 3.75%–4% on a 10–2 vote; Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack wanted a quarter-point increase.

InterpretationThe pause buys evidence, not relief. The Fed has leverage through guidance and balance-sheet credibility, but energy costs, tariffs and AI investment complicate the inflation path; two dissents make a December increase more plausible and keep borrowing costs restrictive.